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Capacity market: how it works and how it affects businesses

Through the capacity market Terna pays an annual premium to those who guarantee available power. Results of the 2025-2027 auctions, the 2028 auction in preparation and the rules by which the cost is spread over withdrawals.

5 min read

By IPGS ENERGYUpdated

The capacity market is the mechanism by which Terna procures capacity through long-term contracts awarded by competitive auctions. Its purpose is to guarantee the adequacy of the electricity system, i.e. the availability of enough power to cover demand on a stable basis. For a business it is not a market to take part in every day but a cost: the premiums paid to auction winners are recovered from energy withdrawals.

47,000 €/MW
Annual premium for national capacity, auction for 2027
€1,847.3 million
Cost of the main auction for 2027
70%
Share of the net cost allocated to peak hours

How it works

The auctions are open to the owners of production units, both programmable and non-programmable; consumption units and foreign resources are also admitted, with specific obligations and rights. For the capacity selected, the operator has the obligation to offer it on the energy and services markets, the right to receive a fixed annual premium from Terna and the obligation to return to Terna the difference, when positive, between the price formed on those markets and a strike price defined by the regulator ARERA. New capacity can obtain fifteen-year contracts; the premium for existing capacity is granted for one year.

The mechanism is provided for by Legislative Decree 379/2003, follows the criteria set by ARERA with Resolution ARG/elt 98/11 and rules proposed by Terna and approved by the Ministry. The first auctions were held in 2019 for delivery years 2022 and 2023. The European Commission assessed it as compatible State aid, authorising its implementation until 31 December 2028.

Results of the most recent auctions

Delivery yearAuction dateExisting capacityNew capacityAuction cost
202525-26 July 202437,581 MW at 45,000 €/MW/year174 MW at 67,500 €/MW/year€1,723.6 million
202618 December 202438,265 MW at 46,000 €/MW/year140 MW at 56,160 €/MW/year€1,816.1 million
202726-27 February 202538,047 MW at 47,000 €/MW/year594 MW at 47,000 €/MW/year€1,847.3 million

The cost of each auction is added to that of the new capacity already awarded in previous years: 572 million euros according to the report on the auction for 2027, in which storage accounts for about 95% of new capacity.

For 2028 the Ministry approved the rules with Decree no. 259 of 6 August 2026, asking Terna to consider holding the auction after the storage auction (MACSE) scheduled for 24 November 2026. As of 10 October 2026 Terna has not published results for that delivery year.

Capacity, energy, services: three different remunerations

MechanismWhat it pays forHow it pays
Capacity marketThe availability of powerFixed annual premium in €/MW
Day-Ahead MarketThe energy soldZonal marginal price in €/MWh
MSDBalancing and redispatching servicesOffered price

How the cost falls on end customers

ARERA defines a net cost: the premiums paid by Terna, minus the amounts Terna recovers, starting with the variable fees returned by the awardees. The cost is covered by a fee applied to the withdrawal dispatching users, i.e. the operators that buy energy for end customers. 70% of the expected cost is charged to the energy withdrawn in the system's peak hours, which Terna identifies and publishes by 15 December of the previous year; the rest is spread over the other hours, with a value updated every quarter. The 70% share is also set for delivery years 2026, 2027 and 2028.

For a business: what to look at

  • In the contract. Check whether the capacity fee is pass-through, with the two values for peak and off-peak hours, or included in the price; and on which measurements consumption is attributed to peak hours (hourly meter curve or conventional profile).
  • In the invoice. It is a cost separate from the dispatching fee, even when the supplier shows them in the same section. With a pass-through formula, the values charged can be compared with those published by Terna.
  • The decisions it affects. The peak-hour calendar is known in December: that is the time to assess how much consumption falls in those hours and whether the production process allows part of it to be shifted. In the budget the item should be reviewed every year, within the procurement and risk management strategy.
  • Typical mistakes. Thinking that the cost disappears by changing supplier, when only the way it is shown changes; comparing an "all-inclusive" offer with a pass-through one without bringing them to the same basis; ignoring the peak-hour calendar.

To understand how the capacity fee is treated in your supplies, with an IPGS ENERGY consultant: Request a discussion.

Sources

Informational content by IPGS ENERGY. Information is reviewed as of the stated update date and does not replace a contractual, tax or regulatory assessment specific to an individual business.

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